Positive Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation and Monetary Policy

Positive Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation and Monetary Policy


Author:Liu Jinquan,Zhang Xiaoyu, Journal:China Management Magazine(Academic)  Date:2008(6)

Keywords Inflation; Moneary Policy; SVAR Model; Kalman Filter

Abstract

It has been confirmed that monetary policy has real effect on output in the short run. But monetary policy will also has influence inflation when it controls real output. In this paper, we test the monetary policy’s effect on inflation by the SVAR model and the time varying model. We find that monetary policy only has little effect on inflation. So we should take other macroeconomic adjustment methods other than tight monetary policy, in order to prevent inflation.

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