Analysis of Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks to Output

Analysis of Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks to Output


Author:Liu Jinquan, Zheng Tingguo Journal:The Journal of Quantative & Technical Economics  Date:2006(10)

Keywords  Asymmetric Effects; Monetary Policy Shocks; Regime Switc- hing; Output; Impulse Response

Abstract

In this paper, using regime switching model and impulse response function, we investigate the dynamic relationship between China's monetary policy shocks and output. We find that significant asymmetry of monetary policy to output and the response of output to the shocks correspond to“low response” regimes and “high response” regimes respectively. According to the time varing transition probability(TVTP)model, we further examine three possible types of asymmetry which include such as the direction, the size of the monetary policy and the phase of business cycle.

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