A Summary of Studies on the Theory of Stock Price Mean Reversion and Its Quantitative Analysis Method

A Summary of Studies on the Theory of Stock Price Mean Reversion and Its Quantitative Analysis Method


Author:Song Yuchen Journal:Taxation and Economy  Date:2006(1)

Keywords price of the shares;random walk;average value return;behavior of the goverment

Abstract

Random Walk Theory thinks that the pr ice of t h e shares is unpredictable .and m any concrete examples have already proved t h is conclusion.But,in recent years ,Average Value Return Theory gave a challenge to the Random Walk Theory .In the long run .it is inevitable that the price of the shares bears the nature of average value return .The average value return is in the nature of asymmetry.The behavior of the government influences the average value return of the shares to some extent.

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