Taxes and government spending policy analysis for the measurement of the output dynamic impact effect

Taxes and government spending policy analysis for the measurement of the output dynamic impact effect


Author:Li Xiaofang,Gao Tiemei,Liang Yunfang Journal:Finance & Trade Economics  Date:2005(2)

Keywords Fiscal policy; Taxes; Government spending; VAR (vector autoregression); SVAR vector autoregressive (structure)

Abstract

Structure of this paper USES vector autoregression (SVAR) model method, study China's tax policy and government spending on output generated by the dynamic impact effect. Main conclusions are: (1) the tax revenue is the impact on output only negative short-term effect, namely the reduction of fiscal policy to promote growth in output in the short term. Government spending is the impact on output have a positive effect, but its long-term effect is effective. (2) the tax policy of raising taxes restrain private consumption, and enlarge the government spending would boost private consumption; (3) the tax policy of raising taxes discourage investment, expanding the government spending is to promote investment.

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