Asset Price Misalignments and Monetary Rules-A Re-examination Based on Modified Tobin’s Q Theory

Asset Price Misalignments and Monetary Rules-A Re-examination Based on Modified Tobin’s Q Theory


Author:Liu Jinquan, Xu Ning, Liu Dayu Journal:Studies of International Finance Date:2017(05)

AbstractThe article makes a correction on the classical Tobin's Q theory, separating the asset's basic value from it's speculative value, and then build a forward looking monetary policy rule with asset's basic value under a DEGE framework to make a necessary discussion on “nominal interest rate adjustment →asset value restoration →real economy recovery”. The results show that nominal interest rate adjustment has a prominent effect on promoting asset value restoration, and then pulls real economy recovery. And the main cause of capital market going active with the real economy recovering slowly at this stage is the mismatch between the real business cycle and the financing cycle. However, we should also not ignore the negative impact of huge asset price volatility on financial stability. Therefore, the monetary authorities should pay high attention to policy guidance beforehand, preventing the investors from making excessive policy interpretation.

KeywordAsset Price; Monetary Policy Rule; Fundamental Q Value;


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