Dynamic Analysis on Demand and Supply Function of Chinese Real Estate Market

Dynamic Analysis on Demand and Supply Function of Chinese Real Estate Market


Author:Wang Jinming,Gao Tiemei Journal:CHINA SOFT SCIENCE  Date:2004(4)

Keywords the demand function of houses;the supply function of houses;price elasticity;income elasticity;time varying parameter model;state

Abstract

This paper makes a quantitative dynamic analysis on demand and supply in our real estate market by using time vary- ing parameter model. The result shows the followings.Firstly, among the several factors affecting demand for houses, income elasticity is the biggest which is followed by price and interest rate elasticity. Secondly, among the several factors affecting supply for houses,price and interestrate elasticity are at large.Thirdly,various variable elasticity alsoshows that the monetary policy is effective in the real estate market while the high price of houses is the bottleneck whichhinders its development.Only by controlling the price of houses within a reasonable state can the effective demand increase and bubble be prevented.

Attachment

Download


Views[ Share: Weibo WeChat Q-zone